St. Thomas
W-L: (20-13) PR = 97.9413Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1004 H St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 1010 H North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 1012 A North Dakota HE (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 1017 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 1- 2 1018 H Air Force AH (19-14, 97.2) 2- 6 1024 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 2- 2 1025 A Providence HE (22-11, 98.9) 4- 7 1031 A Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 3 1101 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 3 1111 A St Cloud St HE (16-19, 98.4) 3- 1 1115 H Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 1121 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 2- 3 1122 A Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 6- 2 1128 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 3 1129 H Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 2- 1 1205 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 3- 5 1206 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 1212 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 0 1213 H No Mich CCH ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 3 102 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 3 103 A Ferris St CCH ( 8-27, 96.5) 8- 4 110 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 4- 2 116 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 117 A Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 3- 2 123 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 7- 4 124 H L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 5- 0 130 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 4- 2 131 A Mich Tech CCH (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 206 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 207 H Bowl Green CCH (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 220 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 3- 3 221 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 227 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 1- 3 228 H Bemidji St CCH (11-19, 97.1) 2- 2 306 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 307 A L Superor CCH (13-22, 96.7) 5- 2 314 A Augustana CCH (22-11, 98.5) 2- 1 320 H Minn St CCH (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1004 H St Cloud St 4- 3 1 0 1.41
1010 H North Dakota 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.36
1012 A North Dakota 2- 5 -3 -2 -1.34
1017 H Air Force 1- 2 -1 1 -1.80
1018 H Air Force 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.80
1024 A Providence 2- 2 0 -1 1.02
1025 A Providence 4- 7 -3 -1 -1.98
1031 A Minn St 1- 3 -2 0 -1.81
1101 H Minn St 4- 3 1 0 1.17
1111 A St Cloud St 3- 1 2 0 + 2.43
1115 H Augustana 4- 4 0 -1 0.53
1121 A Bowl Green 2- 3 -1 0 -1.22
1122 A Bowl Green 6- 2 4 0 + 3.78
1128 H Mich Tech 3- 3 0 0 -0.05
1129 H Mich Tech 2- 1 1 0 0.95
1205 A L Superor 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.25
1206 A L Superor 4- 1 3 1 1.75
1212 H No Mich 2- 0 2 2 -0.34
1213 H No Mich 4- 3 1 2 -1.34
102 A Ferris St 5- 3 2 1 0.61
103 A Ferris St 8- 4 4 1 + 2.61
110 H Minn St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.17
116 A Bemidji St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.18
117 A Bemidji St 3- 2 1 1 0.18
123 H L Superor 7- 4 3 1 1.73
124 H L Superor 5- 0 5 1 + 3.73
130 A Mich Tech 4- 2 2 0 1.97
131 A Mich Tech 3- 4 -1 0 -1.03
206 H Bowl Green 3- 2 1 0 0.76
207 H Bowl Green 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.24
220 A Augustana 3- 3 0 -1 0.55
221 A Augustana 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.45
227 H Bemidji St 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.84
228 H Bemidji St 2- 2 0 1 -0.84
306 A L Superor 4- 3 1 1 -0.25
307 A L Superor 5- 2 3 1 1.75
314 A Augustana 2- 1 1 -1 1.55
320 H Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 H Air Force 2- 6 -4 1 -- -4.80 1010 H North Dakota 2- 6 -4 -2 - -2.36 1205 A L Superor 3- 5 -2 1 - -3.25 207 H Bowl Green 1- 3 -2 0 - -2.24 221 A Augustana 0- 4 -4 -1 - -3.45 227 H Bemidji St 1- 3 -2 1 - -2.84 320 H Minn St 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 A St Cloud St 3- 1 2 0 + 2.43 1122 A Bowl Green 6- 2 4 0 + 3.78 103 A Ferris St 8- 4 4 1 + 2.61 110 H Minn St 4- 2 2 0 + 2.17 116 A Bemidji St 5- 1 4 1 + 3.18 124 H L Superor 5- 0 5 1 + 3.73 |
St. Thomas Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Air Force | Air Force | ||
| Army | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Bentley | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Canisius | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Holy Cross | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Mercyhurst | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Niagara | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| RIT | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Rob Morris | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Sacred Heart | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan 2- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| Michigan St | Michigan St | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Minnesota | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Notre Dame | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Ohio State | Ohio State | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Ohio State | |
| Penn State | Penn State | Penn State | ||
| Wisconsin | Wisconsin | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 0) | Wisconsin | |
| Augustana | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 6- 4 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Bemidji St | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Bowl Green | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 5- 2 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Ferris St | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| L Superor | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Mich Tech | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Minn St | Minn St | tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) | Minn St | |
| No Mich | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Alaska | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Alaska Anch | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Lindenwood | St. Thomas | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| LIU | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Stonehill | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Brown | St. Thomas | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Clarkson | St. Thomas | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Colgate | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Cornell | Cornell | Cornell | ||
| Dartmouth | Dartmouth | Dartmouth | ||
| Harvard | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Princeton | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| Quinnipiac | Quinnipiac | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Quinnipiac | |
| RPI | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| St Lawrence | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Union | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Yale | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Boston Col | Boston Col | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 2) | Boston Col | |
| Boston Univ | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Connecticut | Connecticut | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Connecticut | |
| Maine | Maine | Maine | ||
| UMass | UMass | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 1) | UMass | |
| Merrimack | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | St. Thomas | |
| New Hamp | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Northeastern | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Providence | Providence | Providence | ||
| UMass Lowell | St. Thomas | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| Vermont | St. Thomas | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St. Thomas | |
| Arizona St | St. Thomas | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | St. Thomas | |
| Colorado Col | Colorado Col | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 3) | Colorado Col | |
| Denver | Denver | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) | Denver | |
| Miami | Miami | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) | Miami | |
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 5- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| North Dakota | North Dakota | North Dakota | ||
| Omaha | St. Thomas | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | St. Thomas | |
| St Cloud St | St. Thomas | St. Thomas | ||
| Western Mich | St. Thomas | St. Thomas 3- 2 vs 1- 1 |
PowerWise = 42
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.29
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
1 H St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 4- 3 -1.54 3.11 -0.01 0.95 5.92
1 H North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 6 -0.31 4.34 -0.01 0.95 -0.15
1 A North Dakota (31- 9, 99.6) 2- 5 -0.31 4.34 0.01 0.95 -0.14
1 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 1- 2 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.95 -1.32
1 H Air Force (19-14, 97.2) 2- 6 -2.75 1.90 -0.01 0.95 -1.32
1 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 2- 2 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.95 0.00
1 A Providence (22-11, 98.9) 4- 7 -0.95 3.70 0.01 0.95 -0.45
1 A Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 3 -1.78 2.87 0.01 0.95 -0.85
1 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 3 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.95 5.45
1 A St Cloud St (16-19, 98.4) 3- 1 -1.54 3.11 0.01 0.95 5.95
1 H Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 4- 4 -1.42 3.23 -0.01 0.95 0.00
1 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.95 -1.04
1 A Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 6- 2 -2.19 2.46 0.01 0.95 4.71
1 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 3 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.95 0.00
1 H Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 2- 1 -2.00 2.65 -0.01 0.95 5.04
1 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 3- 5 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 -1.53
1 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 1 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 2.75
1 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 2- 0 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
1 H No Mich ( 3-29, 95.6) 4- 3 -4.29 1.00 -0.01 0.95 1.89
1 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 5- 3 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.95 2.49
1 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.5) 8- 4 -3.35 1.30 0.01 0.95 2.49
1 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 4- 2 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.95 5.45
1 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 5- 1 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.95 3.58
1 A Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 3- 2 -2.79 1.86 0.01 0.95 3.58
1 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 7- 4 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.95 2.71
1 H L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 5- 0 -3.22 1.43 -0.01 0.95 2.71
1 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 4- 2 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.95 5.07
1 A Mich Tech (22-12, 97.9) 3- 4 -2.00 2.65 0.01 0.95 -0.95
1 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.95 4.67
1 H Bowl Green (18-12, 97.7) 1- 3 -2.19 2.46 -0.01 0.95 -1.05
1 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 3- 3 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 0.00
1 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 0- 4 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 -0.67
1 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 1- 3 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.95 -1.33
1 H Bemidji St (11-19, 97.1) 2- 2 -2.79 1.86 -0.01 0.95 0.00
1 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 4- 3 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 2.75
1 A L Superor (13-22, 96.7) 5- 2 -3.22 1.43 0.01 0.95 2.75
1 A Augustana (22-11, 98.5) 2- 1 -1.42 3.23 0.01 0.95 6.18
1 H Minn St (22-11, 98.1) 1- 4 -1.78 2.87 -0.01 0.95 -0.86
------
66.39
|
winning pts = 78.0568 losing points = -11.6695
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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